Panthers vs Falcons Odds and Picks


Panthers vs Falcons Odds

Thursday Evening Soccer is not at all times probably the most aesthetically pleasing recreation of the week, and Week 10 is a superb instance of that.

This is not the sexiest primetime showdown of the season, however that will not cease me from discovering a selection between Falcons and Panthers.

Panthers vs Falcons match evaluation

Toggle the drop-down menus under to cover or present how Panthers and Hawks evaluate statistically:

DVOA Discrimination Between Falcons and Panthers
normal DVOA 8 28
Move DVOA 12 28
Rush DVOA 4 23
normal DVOA 31 29
Move DVOA 32 29
Rush DVOA 16 22

Guess the Complete on FanDuel
Greater than 41.5 | Under 41.5

When the hawks have the ball

It is fairly apparent what the Falcons’ offensive recreation plan will probably be on this recreation: impose their will with an especially heavy assault.

A lot of Atlanta’s success this season has been as a result of their offensive line has been taking part in at a really excessive stage, rating sixth in adjusted line yards in line with Soccer Outsiders.

Nonetheless, left guard Wlijah Wilkinson suffered a knee harm in Week 8 that can hold him out for about 4 weeks. Then substitute LG Matt Hennessy suffered a knee harm final week that can hold him sidelined for at the very least 4 weeks. The latter is a disgrace contemplating Hennessy crammed in properly.

It seems like Colby Gossett will begin at LG, regardless of being listed on the Falcons’ depth chart on RG. It positively is smart, nevertheless, as the opposite choice is undrafted free agent Ryan Neuzil, who has by no means performed within the NFL as a left guard. The play is smart, however the fixed shuffling on the offensive line is suboptimal.

Having to go along with a third-string left guard who has no NFL expertise could cause sufficient interruptions for an offense that relied on a stable offensive line (in working play) all season.

When the panthers have the ball

The carriage lastly was a pumpkin for PJ Walker final week. He adopted his finest efficiency in Week 8 with the worst of his NFL profession in Week 9. Walker was changed by Baker Mayfield at halftime in a loss in opposition to the Bengals, however interim head coach Steve Wilks will give him one other likelihood.

Walker fired up the Falcons protection in Week 8 for 317 yards, so I anticipate him to bounce again Thursday night time.

The Falcons’ protection, which ranks twenty ninth within the Soccer Outsiders’ DVOA metric, remains to be with out its high two cornerbacks, AJ Terrell and Casey Hayward. I hope Carolina can transfer the ball simply in opposition to the Falcons.

The Panthers offense can be fairly sneaky, as a result of even in a situation the place Walker fights once more, Carolina at the very least has Baker Mayfield to fall again on, which supplies the offense a reasonably excessive flooring.

I anticipate Walker and the Panthers offense to supply a comeback recreation in opposition to the Falcons this week.

Within the final three seasons, groups that got here out of a lack of 20 or extra factors went 67-49 (58%) in opposition to the unfold (ATS). The market tends to overreact to a loss, and I believe that is the case right here, permitting us to get the important thing quantity 3 for the house group.

The Falcons offense may really feel the results of getting to begin an undrafted third-string free agent making his NFL debut as a left guard, particularly contemplating they relied on a heavy offense that was fueled by a stable offensive line. The Panthers’ protection can be a lot better on paper than their twenty eighth place on the DVOA would recommend.

The road modified to Panthers +2.5 on Thursday morning. I might you should definitely get the important thing variety of +3. Use our NFL odds web page to get dwell odds as they will fluctuate all through the day so you will get the important thing quantity.

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